Why Iran’s January 2026 Revolution Stalled: Strategic Intelligence Lessons for Tanzania’s Anti-Samia Opposition
Iran's December 2025-January 2026 uprising and Tanzania's October 2025 election protests both resulted in thousands of deaths with regimes surviving intact. These failures contrast with successful 2025 regime changes in Madagascar (September-October), Nepal (September), and Bulgaria (November-December). Comparative intelligence analysis of these six 2025-2026 uprisings reveals why some toppled governments while others collapsed—providing strategic lessons for Tanzania's anti-Samia opposition.


