Ugandan Army Chief Muhoozi Kainerugaba Threatens Move on Kisangani: What It Means for Regional Security in the Great Lakes Region

The recent declaration by Uganda’s army chief and first son, Lt. General Muhoozi Kainerugaba, that either the Uganda People’s Defence Force (UPDF) or the Rwanda-backed M23 rebel group will be in Kisangani within a week has sent shockwaves across the African Great Lakes Region. The statement, posted on X (formerly Twitter), raises serious concerns regarding regional peace, Congolese sovereignty, and the broader geopolitics involving Uganda, Rwanda, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). This article analyses the historical, strategic, and geopolitical implications of this threat, with a focus on intelligence-led assessments.