Tanzania's Political Trilemma: CHADEMA's "No Reform No Election" Stance, Planned Poll Day Protests, and October 29 Electoral Trajectory
Ujasusi Blog’s East Africa Monitoring Team | 22 September 2025 | 0200 BST
Tanzania's political landscape stands at a critical juncture as the October 29, 2025, general election approaches. The nation's main opposition party, CHADEMA (Party for Democracy and Progress), has maintained its unwavering "No Reform No Election" stance despite being barred from participating in the polls. This intelligence assessment examines the complex dynamics surrounding CHADEMA's campaign, the increasing likelihood of the election proceeding without meaningful opposition participation, and the uncertain position regarding planned demonstrations by US-based Tanzanian blogger Mange Kimambi.