Somalia: Federal Government has to date failed to launch an offensive against al Shabaab in southern Somalia in 2023, likely enabling al Shabaab to increase the rate and severity of in Mogadishu
The SFG has failed to launch an offensive against al Shabaab in southern Somalia in 2023, which is likely enabling al Shabaab to increase attacks in Mogadishu.[1] CTP previously assessed in May that al Shabaab had been giving priority to stalling a potential counterterrorism offensive in southern Somalia since early 2023, which contributed to a lull in …