Museveni Tanzania Visit February 2026: EACOP Progress and Kagera Land Deal Allegations
Ujasusi Blog’s East Africa Monitoring Team | 08 February 2026 | 0105 GMT
Table of Contents
👉In Brief
👉What Was the Strategic Context of Museveni’s February 2026 Visit?
👉What Infrastructure Projects Dominated the Museveni-Samia Talks?
East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP)
Proposed gas and refined oil pipelines
Trade and logistics infrastructure
👉What Is the Historical Context of Tanzania-Uganda Territorial Disputes?
The Kagera Salient conflict
Legacy territorial sensitivities
Museveni’s connection to the territorial question
Why territorial rumours resonate
👉Who Is Mange Kimambi and What Is Her Operational Profile?
Operational profile
Crowdsourcing methodology
Mobilisation capability
Intelligence assessment
👉What Are the Specific Kagera Land Deal Allegations?
The core allegation framework
UPDF intervention component
Evidentiary status
The mainland betrayal narrative
Why this specific framing is politically potent
👉What Is the Intelligence Assessment of the Land Deal Allegation?
Signal validity assessment
Strategic logic evaluation
Alternative explanations for observed bilateral cooperation
👉What Verification Pathways Exist for the Land Deal Allegation?
Primary indicators to monitor
Secondary intelligence collection
Timeframe considerations
👉How Does the Allegation Function as Information Warfare?
Multi-layered messaging effectiveness
Why the allegation persists without evidence
Comparison to historical East African territorial conspiracy theories
👉What Are the Implications for Tanzania’s Political Stability?
Immediate political effects
Long-term sovereignty implications
👉What Does Museveni’s Visit Reveal About East African Authoritarian Coordination?
Verified cooperation areas
Regional democratic regression context
The infrastructure legitimacy shield
👉Assessment and Monitoring Recommendations
Current intelligence judgment
Analytical confidence levels
Priority collection requirements
Alternative hypotheses requiring testing
Key questions requiring answers
In Brief
Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni visited Tanzania on 7–8 February 2026 for bilateral talks with President Samia Suluhu Hassan, focusing on the East African Crude Oil Pipeline, trade facilitation, and regional security cooperation. Opposition networks allege a secret land concession involving disputed Kagera territory in exchange for Ugandan military intervention during Tanzania’s October 2025 election crisis, though no documentary evidence has emerged.