Intelligence Brief: Systematic Suppression of CHADEMA and the Evolving Tanzanian Political Landscape
Prepared by Evarist Chahali
Intelligence Cut-Off Date: May 14, 2025 at 0415 BST
Executive Summary
Tanzania's principal opposition party, Chama cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo (CHADEMA), is currently under intensifying pressure through a series of coordinated legal, administrative, and extrajudicial actions. These efforts, appearing both state-sponsored and politically motivated, aim to fragment the party internally, undermine its leadership, discredit its public standing, and effectively neutralise it as a political threat ahead of the 2025 general elections. This brief explores the latest developments in the campaign against CHADEMA, the implications for the party's future, and the broader outlook for Tanzania's democracy under President Samia Suluhu Hassan.