[FREE ACCESS] Ujasusi Blog's Africa Terrorism Monitor: Tracker Update Nov 16 - 30, 2025
Ujasusi Blog Terrorism Monitoring Desk | 05 December 2025 | 2130 GMT
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PART 1: AFRICA - ALL INCIDENTS NOVEMBER 16-30, 2025
1. GREAT LAKES REGION (DRC - ADF/ISCAP)
DRC Hospital Massacre - Byambwe, North Kivu
Date: November 15-16, 2025 (Friday night)
Location: Byambwe Reference Health Centre, Lubero territory, North Kivu Province
Perpetrator: Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) - ISIS-affiliated (ISCAP)
Casualties:
Initial reports: 17-20 civilians killed
Vatican News: ~20 killed
Later comprehensive reports: Up to 89 killed across multiple villages
Details:
Attack on Catholic Church-run hospital
Victims included patients and medical staff
Part of ADF’s ongoing campaign in eastern DRC
Catholic Bishop condemned “shameful silence” of international community
Sources: Vatican News, PBS, ACI Africa, Catholic Standard, Firstpost, OHCHR
2. HORN OF AFRICA (Al-Shabaab - Somalia/Kenya)
US-Somali Airstrikes on Al-Shabaab (Nov 14-15, confirmed; operations may have continued into 16-30 window)
Date: November 14-15, 2025 (confirmed); ongoing operations
Location: Lower Juba region, Somalia
Action: US AFRICOM airstrikes in coordination with Somali forces
Target: Al-Shabaab positions
Casualties: Not specified (militant casualties)
Context: Part of ongoing counter-terrorism operations
Source: AFRICOM, Dawan Africa
Kenya IED Attack - Garissa
Date: November 19, 2025
Location: Liboi-Kulan road, Garissa County, Kenya
Perpetrator: Suspected Al-Shabaab
Casualties:
2 Border Patrol Unit police officers killed
5 officers injured (3 critically)
Method: IED (Improvised Explosive Device)
Details: Vehicle ran over explosive device planted by militants
Sources: Capital FM Kenya, The Star Kenya
Somali Forces Kill Al-Shabaab Leaders
Date: November 9, 2025 (just outside window)
Location: Bakool and Bay regions, South West State, Somalia
Action: Somali National Army operations
Result: Senior Al-Shabaab leaders killed
Source: Dawan Africa
Operations near Afgooye
Date: November (specific date unclear)
Location: Near Afgooye, Somalia
Action: Somali forces dismantled Al-Shabaab mines and extortion checkpoints
Source: Hiiraan Online
3. SAHEL REGION (JNIM & IS-Sahel - Mali/Burkina Faso/Niger)
Niger Gendarmerie Attack
Date: November 2025 (specific date unclear)
Location: Garbougna gendarmerie post, Tera-Niamey axis
Perpetrator: Islamic State Greater Sahara (ISGS)
Casualties: At least 17 Niger soldiers killed
Details: Militants overran military position
Source: Anadolu Agency
Al-Qaeda Linked Attack in Niger
Date: November 20, 2025
Location: Tillaberi region, Niger
Perpetrator: Al-Qaeda (likely JNIM)
Casualties: At least 10 soldiers killed
Details: Part of coordinated attacks across Sahel
Source: Reuters
Mali TikTok Influencer Execution
Date: November 11, 2025
Location: Mali (town square execution)
Perpetrator: Suspected jihadists (likely JNIM)
Victim: Mariam Cissé (TikTok influencer who supported military junta)
Method: Public execution after abduction and death threats
Source: The Guardian
General Sahel Context:
JNIM expanding operations around Bamako
Fuel disruptions and economic warfare tactics
Described as potential “Africa’s Afghanistan”
No other specific incidents confirmed for Nov 16-30
4. LAKE CHAD BASIN (Boko Haram & ISWAP - Nigeria/Chad/Cameroon/Niger)
Nigeria ISWAP Attack
Date: November 11, 2025
Location: Borno State, north-eastern Nigeria
Perpetrator: Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP)
Casualties: 4 Christians killed
Source: Barnabas Aid
Nigeria Jihadist Ambush
Date: November 16, 2025
Location: Northeastern Borno state, Nigeria
Perpetrator: IS-aligned jihadists
Casualties: 2 soldiers, 2 anti-jihadist militia members killed
Method: Ambush of security forces
Source: The Defence Post
Boko Haram vs ISWAP Infighting
Date: November 10, 2025 (just outside window, but relevant)
Location: Lake Chad shores, north-eastern Nigeria
Type: Terrorist turf war (not civilian attack)
Casualties: ~200 militants killed (inter-factional fighting)
Context: Deadliest infighting since Boko Haram split
Note: This was militants killing each other, NOT a terrorist attack on civilians
Sources: The Guardian, TRT Afrika, DW, Modern Tokyo Times
5. MOZAMBIQUE (ISIS-Mozambique - Cabo Delgado)
No confirmed incidents for November 16-30, 2025
Search did not reveal specific attacks in this timeframe
General context: Rwandan troops deployed since 2021 supporting counter-insurgency
PART 2: REGIONAL BREAKDOWNS
1. SAHEL (JNIM & IS-Sahel: Mali/Burkina Faso/Niger)
Confirmed Incidents November 16-30:
November 20: Niger - At least 10 soldiers killed (Tillaberi), Al-Qaeda
Late November: JNIM operations continuing around Bamako
General Situation:
JNIM (Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin) - al-Qaeda affiliate
IS-Sahel (ISIS Greater Sahara)
JNIM conducting economic warfare (fuel disruptions)
French intelligence considers Mali “epicentre of global terrorism”
Risk of Mali becoming failed state under jihadist control
Challenge: Specific attack dates/casualties for Nov 16-30 difficult to verify due to reporting gaps
2. LAKE CHAD BASIN (Boko Haram & ISWAP: Nigeria/Chad/Cameroon/Niger)
Confirmed Incidents November 16-30:
November 11: ISWAP killed 4 Christians in Borno State
November 16: IS-aligned ambush killed 2 soldiers, 2 militia in Borno
Notable (just outside window):
November 10: Boko Haram vs ISWAP infighting - ~200 militants killed (NOT civilian attack)
General Situation:
Two main groups: Boko Haram and Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP)
Ongoing territorial disputes between factions
Attacks on security forces and civilians
Lake Chad region remains highly unstable
3. HORN OF AFRICA (Al-Shabaab: Somalia/Kenya)
Confirmed Incidents November 16-30:
November 19: IED attack in Garissa, Kenya - 2 police killed, 5 injured
Operations (not attacks):
November 14-15: US AFRICOM airstrikes on Al-Shabaab (Lower Juba)
Mid-November: Somali forces destroyed Al-Shabaab checkpoints near Afgooye
General Situation:
Al-Shabaab remains active in Somalia and Kenya
Some reports indicate declining attack frequency in recent months
Continued asymmetric warfare using IEDs
4. GREAT LAKES (ADF/ISCAP: DRC/Uganda)
Confirmed Incidents November 16-30:
November 15-16: Byambwe hospital massacre - 20-89 killed (primary incident)
General Situation:
ADF (Allied Democratic Forces) pledged allegiance to ISIS (now ISCAP)
Operating in North Kivu and Ituri provinces
Targeting both civilians and Congolese/UN forces
Described as “existential threat”
5. MOZAMBIQUE (ISIS-Mozambique: Cabo Delgado)
Confirmed Incidents November 16-30:
None found in available sources
General Situation:
ISIS-Mozambique (Ansar al-Sunna) active in Cabo Delgado
Rwandan and SADC forces deployed since 2021
Insurgency ongoing but no specific attacks in timeframe verified
PART 3: NON-AFRICAN ROUNDUP (November 16-30, 2025)
ISIS-K (Afghanistan/Pakistan)
No confirmed attacks found for November 16-30, 2025
Context:
ISIS-K (Islamic State Khorasan Province) remains active threat
US intelligence assessments warn of ISIS-K capability to plot overseas attacks
December 2025: Afghan national arrested in US for ISIS-K weapons support
General instability in Afghanistan under Taliban rule continues
Al-Qaeda (Yemen/Syria)
No confirmed attacks found for November 16-30, 2025
Context:
Yemen: Houthi operations continue (not traditional AQ terrorism)
Syria: Post-Assad transition, various factions competing
Al-Qaeda infrastructure remains in Afghanistan/Pakistan
No major AQ attacks verified in this specific timeframe
Far-Right Terrorism (Europe/US)
November 13, 2025: US Designates European Antifa Groups as Terrorists
Action: US State Department designated 4 European groups
Groups: Antifa Ost (Germany), groups in Italy and Greece
Controversy: Critics dispute designation; debate over whether these are “terrorist” organisations
Note: This was a designation/policy action, NOT an attack
No confirmed far-right attacks in November 16-30 window
Context:
October 2025: Far-right violence documented in various countries
Ongoing monitoring of right-wing extremism in Europe and US
No major incidents in the specific timeframe verified
SUMMARY: The timeframe shows limited major jihadist activity outside Africa. ISIS-K, Al-Qaeda core, and far-right groups did not conduct confirmed major attacks between November 16-30, 2025 based on available reporting.
PART 4: MAJOR NON-TERRORIST INCIDENTS (November 16-30, 2025)
TANZANIA POST-ELECTION KILLINGS
Timeline: Following October 29, 2025 elections; violence escalated in early-mid November
Nature: STATE VIOLENCE - NOT TERRORISM
Police and security forces killing protesters
Post-election crackdown on opposition
Casualties:
UN Human Rights Chief reports: “hundreds” of extrajudicial killings
Activist estimates: 1,000+ dead
Enforced disappearances and mass graves reported
CNN investigation documented police shooting unarmed protesters
Key Developments:
November 9: Catholic Church in Tanzania condemned killings
November 10: European Parliament adopted resolution
November 14: President announced probe into deaths
November 21: CNN investigation published showing police shootings
December 9: Planned protests raised fears of “another massacre”
International Response:
UN Human Rights Chief Volker Türk urged investigations
EU Parliament condemned violations
US and European Union weaponise “human rights” concerns (some sources)
Crisis Group warned of preventing another massacre
Sources: OHCHR, CNN, Crisis Group, Al Jazeera, European Parliament, PBS, Washington Post
Classification: This is STATE REPRESSION, not terrorism. Security forces killing political protesters following disputed elections.
OTHER SIGNIFICANT NON-TERRORIST EVENTS
No other major mass-casualty non-terrorist incidents identified for November 16-30, 2025 timeframe
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY & LIMITATIONS
Sources Consulted:
News agencies: Al Jazeera, BBC, Reuters, CNN, PBS, Guardian
Religious/humanitarian: Vatican News, ACI Africa, Catholic Standard, Barnabas Aid
Regional media: Dawan Africa, Hiiraan Online, Capital FM Kenya
Think tanks: Crisis Group, Atlantic Council, Critical Threats, FPRI
UN/Official: OHCHR, AFRICOM
Academic: DW, Euractiv, Africa Defence Forum
Limitations:
Reporting lag: Late November 2025 incidents may not be fully documented
Africa coverage gap: Systematic under-reporting of African conflicts in Western media
Date precision: Many sources use “November” without specific dates
Casualty verification: Conflicting numbers (DRC: 20 vs 89)
Attribution challenges: Difficult to confirm which group responsible for some attacks
Access issues: Remote areas have limited reporting infrastructure
Confidence Levels:
HIGH CONFIDENCE: DRC hospital attack, Kenya IED, Tanzania killings
MODERATE CONFIDENCE: Niger attacks, Nigeria incidents
LOW CONFIDENCE: Specific dates for many Sahel incidents
KEY FINDINGS SUMMARY
VERIFIED TERRORIST INCIDENTS (November 16-30, 2025):
DRC hospital attack (15-16 Nov): 20-89 killed
Kenya IED (19 Nov): 2 killed, 5 wounded
Nigeria ISWAP attack (16 Nov): 4 killed
Niger soldier deaths: 10-17 killed in separate incidents
MAJOR NON-TERRORIST EVENT:
Tanzania post-election killings: Hundreds to 1,000+ killed by state security forces
ASSESSMENT: November 16-30, 2025 shows relatively LIMITED large-scale terrorist activity globally compared to historical patterns. The DRC hospital attack is the single deadliest civilian-targeted terrorist incident in this specific window. Most activity occurred in sub-Saharan Africa, with minimal verified jihadist attacks elsewhere.
