Assessing the Probabilities of Sudan Becoming the Next Libya: A Comprehensive Analysis

The geopolitical landscape of North Africa has been marked by instability and political turbulence in recent decades. Libya, with its protracted civil conflict and power vacuum, serves as a stark reminder of the challenges that countries in the region face. Sudan, another African nation, has undergone significant political transformations, and concerns about its stability have been raised. This analysis aims to delve into the probabilities of Sudan following a trajectory similar to Libya. By examining historical context, current political dynamics, and regional influences, we can gain valuable insights into the potential risks and mitigating factors.